Android netrunner order and chaos review Videos

+Mark Khei Thanks and thanks!

+Periklis Doukas We're actually right in the middle of a big web update. It should be fixed soon!

+Pat Craig Definitely not out of the question! We'll keep this in mind!

+Wesu Maru Great to hear!

+Off-The-Cuff Gaming Thank you!

+Seth Dortch Thanks for the continued viewership Seth!

+Philip Jaques Perfect!

+Team Covenant Honestly just the discussion this sort of thing brings out is great. Gets you thinking about different card combos, new things to try in your decks etc. Gold.

+James Deeman We're definitely getting into these kinds of videos, so certainly a possibility!

+Gustavo Gil Thank you Gustavo! #hugsreturned

There's only so many hours in the day. Between tournament coverage, special events like this fight night, and their own local endeavors (and other games!) set reviews are the first to go. The community has plenty of other set reviewers that do a good job.EDIT: Team Covenant does a Twitch.tv stream each week for Netrunner, Doomtown, and Warhammer, and one more I can't remember. They are still putting out content, it's just different.

+NoNamium Indeed. We were spending all of our time on the previews and reviews are were not able to push new concepts forward. It'll take a bit to get things where we want them, but it will mean much better content for everyone.

+Kristopher Jamieson We've definitely hit our target audience then!

I don't neccesarily hope for a new faction, but I would like to see neutral corps and runners. Runners as connections is a neat idea too.

+Gnarrkhaz You for sure are the only one.

+QuantaKill No, you are incorrect. The odds that a series of non-dependent events will all occur is found by multiplying each of their probabilities.//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability#Independent_events In this case, the probabilities change in the manner I stated because we are only interested in the odds of grabbing 1 agenda in the three pulls. So the odds of getting an agenda as the first is 6/35 and, assuming we didn't hit an agenda in the first, the second would be 6/34 and the third 6/33. But we aren't interested in odds to pull an agenda each time, we want odds to pull a single agenda. So where to from here?Another part of probability is that all possible outcomes sum to 100%. So if we take the probability of not pulling an agenda in all three pulls, and subtract them from 1, that will give us the probability that at least 1 of them is an agenda, thus my equation:P(at least one agenda) = 1 - (probability of not getting an agenda) = 1 - ((29/35) * (28/34) * (27/33))29 non-agendas in 35 total cards in the first pull, remove one non-agenda card for the second and then the third.Taking the average, as you suggest, will show us the odds for pulling an agenda in any single on of those cards, not the probability of pulling at least one in the three that we see.

+Wreqt You're perfectly right on keyhole. My main point was that often people will under-appreciate the odds on multi-card accesses (both the corp not defending R&D enough and the runner not running R&D enough). QuantaKill just demonstrated that. By the way, QuantaKill, to get the probability of a series of events of occurring, you do the product of the probabilities of each event, just like Wregt did. And there's no need to be snarky, especially if you can't recognize a product from a sum.

+Wreqt  you should take the average of those %, not the sum ...  which would still be ~17-18%

+DrsebrpKeyhole is amazing. Not only does it hit agendas with a huge frequency, it nails key pieces of decks, and makes EVERY access a hit to the corp's strategy. The addition of Eater finally gave this monster what it needed.

+Wreqt You are right, but in practice averaging the success % over the 3 trials for the binomial gives a close enough solution, the only difference being that I gave the odds of getting 1 agenda, not at least 1. But you're right, it should be included, even if keyhole can only trash a single card per run.1 - dbinom(0,3,(6/34)) = 0.441 or 44.1%. The conclusion being that keyhole is really good.

+QuantaKillPlease explain then. I am interested to know where you think my math is incorrect.

both of you ... that's not how math works ... 

The odds of hitting an agenda in the three access is higher than you stated. It is a simple probability of 1 - (chance you get no agenda in 3 accesses) which is calculated:1 - (29/35 * 28/34 * 27/33) = 1 - .558 = 44.2%Binomial distribution requires a constant probability, meaning you would replace the card before drawing again.

+Steven Carlson Thanks for watching!

+Michał Ratajczak Thank you for watching!

+Daniel Jones What is it they say about a fish out of water? So true!

+PeaceIsAJoke That's Valencia's Runner ability!

+grudd Thank you! It's very kind of you to say.

yeah. just 2 fetals makes it a problem, because the corp can be broke. On the other hand, "I've had worse".

+Team Covenant forgot that. Thanks.

+misanthrope4life Medium only counts the counters beyond the first! Good luck with your Anarch pursuits, it's a wild world in the red cards!

+Wreqt Perfect.

+aqurk It's better than it's ever been, without a doubt!

+Ian G Slightly, but still not that great ;)

+Chris MThanks for your suggestions Chris. Really enjoying the videos. Keep 'em coming!

You could check with your play group, most don't mind if you just make a proxy for Imp until you can get the real one.Otherwise, the closest alternatives would be Gravedigger (Order and Chaos) or Lamprey (Upstalk). Scrubber (ASIS) is also ok for trashing resources, but unfortunately not a virus.