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Dmitry Orlov: Peak Oil Lessons From The Soviet Union

Dmitry Orlov, engineer and author, warns that the US's reliance on diminishing fuel supplies might be sending it down the same path the Soviet Union took ...

User Comments

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Currently, we have an OIL GLUT, because of all the immense discoveries of petrol. We now have KNOWN reserves for AT LEAST 400 years of consumption. You have clearly been mislead, Mr.Orlov. At the same time, Capitalism has done its thing by creating perfectly good cars that can run on 3 l/100 km, which might still be improved on. There will be future sources of energy, but we have at least 400 years to develop them, instead of installing totally inefficient, immature technologies. A little historical perspective: a French 2CV produced 500 TIMES more pollution than a modern Mercedes 600, which can be easily recycled to 95%, as it was designed for recycling. Show a little faith in human ingenuity! Capitalism adapts, unlike a communist system.
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+Bruce Frykman Except that the cycles, cheap money and government overspending are not flaws of capitalism, but of anti-capitalism, of Keynesian and Marxist politicians.
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+Martin Gård You point out and obvious flaw in capitalism. Under capitalism governments create bubbles by overspending and cheap money policies, occasionally the economy tanks before the individual efforts of millions rebuild it.Under socialism, there are no such cycles. The economy is always in the toilet. This take the drama out of life and one can count on always living in despair - this is why socialism rules.
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+Martin Gård Nonsense, those resources are already being exploited, very profitably. The markets are FLOODED with cheap petrol!
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+Pro Libertate Nothing of that will ever reach surface :) If you're going to get those reserves you will use more energy to get them than what you will get out from it later. Trouble is already upon us.. just look at the economies all over the world. High oilprice -> economy crashes.. oilprice sinks.. economy rebounds.. oilprice increase faster than last time.. economy crashes again. And so on. Worse for every cycle.
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+Pro Libertate Very well put, the leftist "solution" is to stop building roads and force everyone on to union run trolleys which use immense quantities of energy to accelerate tons of steel every few blocks at every stop. When the doors open all the heated air escapes during the winter and the cool air escapes out during the summer.They are of course an environmental disaster but they are wonderful for socialist votes with even ore people dependent on screwed up criminal government for their extortion....err i mean pay.
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Love Orlov, but global warming is pure BS. The climate has been on a slight cooling trend since 1998.
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+Mit Oakey ...Yes and next unplug your computer. 95% of it is made with oil. Next stop buying anything made or transported with gas, oil or coal. Disconnect from your grid and return the the stone age. It worked for the Indians.
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Stop watching news programs that are funded by the fossil fuel industry. There's an obvious financial motive for their dissemination of misinformation to their viewers. Watch Democracy Now! Read lots of books and step out of your comfort zone to take a look at the evidence on offer by the national academy of science(NAS) and other INDEPENDENT research organizations. And there's no substitute for learning math, chemistry and physics so you can work it out yourself.
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The important thing to realize is that their are definite effects that can be seen within the climate which are directly linked to human-made chemical emissions. These chemicals are being spread all over that planet not only in the form of fossil fuel emissions, but as  chemicals emitted from decomposing plastic, building materials, household and industrial cleaning supplies, chemical fertilizers, and any other highly toxic synthetic chemical compound that we manufacture and let seep into the water, air and soil. We have unknowingly relied on the biosphere that surrounds us to recycle chemical waste that is produced by other living systems, because natural selection has sculpted individual life-forms to function that way. But we are pumping such a high volume of pollutants, with such devastating chemical properties into the environment, that can't be processed by other living things, and is actually toxic to them, that we are upsetting the delicate systemic interactions within the environment. So global warming is only one side effect of a collapsing environment along with ozone depletion, ocean acidification, runaway greenhouse emissions from pockets of natural gas stored in arctic ice, carcinogenic compounds in our water; food; and air, etc. And by the way, global warming is not BS. It is caused by the fact that the particular structures of certain molecules(CO2 and methane) have a geometry that vibrates for long periods of time relative to other molecules when they are hit by solar radiation. This vibration is what he call heat. Because they hold heat longer, and there is an ever increasing amount of them, you can expect the environment to get warmer; unless the sun stops shining or we take these molecules out of the atmosphere.
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Is that why you can sail a ship through the new northwest passage in the arctic?  There was no northwest passage until about 5 years ago. NASA has reported that the north pole is 30% smaller in the summer then it was 40 years ago. A navy study done a few years ago calculated that the north pole will be completely ice free in the summer by 2019.  heres an article from the Guardian on this Navy study. //www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2013/dec/09/us-navy-arctic-sea-ice-2016-melt    
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What Israel did in Lebanon is avoid a 2 front war.. the next target will be Iran with its agreement to exchange its oil outside of the Petrodollar.. Lets wait and see..
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+Chris Clements Oh, of course, the fault is with Israel and the issue is oil.It has nothing to do with the fact that the regime in Iran regularly broadcasts the message that they will "Destroy Israel". No, that's not a lie, you can see it all over their media!Are the Iranians INVITING an attack?
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America will continue just like Christianity was spread thru the world... Believe and obey or die... This gentleman doesn't seem to take that into account.
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 "(W)e will never again know peace, nor in all probability survive very long as a nation, unless we abolish the CIA, restore intelligence collecting to the State Department, and remove all but purely military functions from the Pentagon."The NAF are fighting to completely eliminate the Ukrainian military and thefascist volunteer forces as viable forces that can be used by the junta against allthe people of Ukraine.
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